Tim Anderson, CEO at Sun One Energy, Inc., told Etopia News this afternoon that “there are plenty of rooftops for everyone,” as his and other companies vie for roof space for installing solar energy-generating modules throughout the Canadian provide of Ontario under that jurisdiction’s recently implemented Green Energy Act and feed-in tariff program.
He doesn’t envision a bidding war for clients over price since the owners of potential sites all know that aggregators can “only pay so much” and still make money under the province’s innovative system of paying for renewable energy through 20-year contracts that guarantee purchase of indigenously-produced renewable energy.
His own company, which he founded 18 months ago after a successful career in real estate development, already has two million square feet of roof space under contract and has deals for another five million square feet pending. Working with local contractors through affiliated offices throughout Canada’s largest province, Sun One is focusing its efforts on commercial properties that can support solar deployments in the 125 kW to 1 MW range.
Snow is not unknown in Ontario but, according to Anderson, Sun One’s financial calculations account for solar production downtime due to those conditions. Also, he said, the company is working on various technical means to mitigate the effects of such contingencies.
The Green Energy Act and the feed-in tariff that it establishes will be subject to a 24-month review in the fall of 2011, and Anderson is not expecting that examination will involve any drastic curtailment of the program. “We’re going full-speed ahead,” he said.
In fact, according to the Sun One CEO, based on calls he’s been getting from as far afield as British Columbia, he expects other Canadian provinces and some jurisdictions in “the states” to start adopting similar feed-in tariff policies themselves within two years.
In Ontario itself, he says, the feed-in tariff program “is very successful and is becoming more so,” leading to increases in renewables manufacturing and job creation. He says Sun One is currently negotiating privately to raise the capital it needs for these projects.
Because Sun One was in the market before the passage of the Green Energy Act, it already had a “competitive advantage,” he said, and has been gaining additional clients mostly through “word of mouth,” and the occasional press release. The company is in discussions with solar module manufacturers about building local facilities, which will help it meet Ontario‘s “domestic content” levels of 50 percent now and 60 percent in 2011, as required under the province’s Green Energy Act.
For more information, visit Sun One Energy, Inc., at http://sunoneenergy.ca/.
Tuesday, February 9, 2010
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How big can this FIT-rooftop commercial/resi solar get here?
In the Green Energy Act OEB mandates 6350MW of coal phased out by 2014 (18% of the total Ontario capacity of 35,450MW.) The Minister also seeks to increase renewables another 10,000MW from 1,300MW as of Dec/09 to over 13,000MW by 2015, growing to 25,000MW by 2025.
In Germany renewables contribute 16.1% of total electrical with solar PV 6% of the 16.1 or about 1% of total. They have a country goal of having renewables contribute 20% to their total energy capacity, which seems to map into what the OEB is aiming for.
So lets assume a modest 5% contribution by solar pv rooftops (commercial)of the 10,000MW NEW renewable goal= 500MW. At 150kW for a 35,000 sq ft roof, it will take about 3,333 rooftops to generate that 500MW. On the buy side at $6500 kw installed thats $3.25BIL which will be spent on panels, inverters, installation, consulting etc. most of it locally (50-60%)
On the FIT tariff side thats about
$427MILLION in FEES for 1 YEAR
at 71.3cts kwh x 500,000kW plant x 1,200 kwh/kwp irradiance = $8.54BILLION over 20 years that the ONT tax payer is contracted to pay.(todays $$).
So I say its a 500MW market, then the FIT rate will drop about 15% as in Germany. Also, the BIG players like Samsung, etc may scoop up the "renewable pie" with big wind/solar farms.
regards,
Stuart
OSP Solar
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