Friday, July 22, 2016

Legal innovator Anthony Niblett discusses Blue J Legal’s machine learning research tool



Anthony Niblett, Associate Professor and Canada Research Chair in Law, Economics, & Innovation at the University of Toronto Faculty of Law, and a co-founder of machine learning start-up Blue J Legal, spoke this afternoon to Etopia News, and provided additional details about a reference to the firm in a recent Economist article entitled “If computers wrote laws:  Decisions handed down by data” in its special supplement “The World If.”

According to the Economist article, Blue J Legal is “a startup combining law and machine learning to provide answers about complex areas of tax, such as how to determine if a person is an employee or independent contractor.”  According to the Economist, this approach represents the possible replacement of “rules and standards” as the basis of legal reasoning by “micro-directives” derived by algorithms from existing case law. 
  
This idea is introduced and elaborated upon by Professor Niblett and his co-author, University of Chicago Law Professor Anthony Casey, in an article entitled "The Death of Rules and Standards," available online here.

According to Niblett, the company’s operations are now in beta test mode, designed to provide a proof-of-concept for the idea that gray areas in the law can be reduced to black-and-white answers by applying machine learning algorithms to masses of existing case law, in order to determine more definitively the answers to questions of interest, in this initial case to questions about tax law.

You can watch a video explanation of the origins of Blue J Legal from its CEO, Benjamin Alarie, on the company’s Facebook page, here.

The legal data being crunched by the algorithms is Canadian tax law, which is, conveniently enough, uniform throughout Canada, which avoids complications generated by multi-jurisdictional issues.  The system’s data set includes 600 instances of case law relevant to the question of whether a particular person is an employee or an independent contractor.  Instead of having to wait for a judge or the IRS to rule on any particular instance, a tax professional or lawyer can use the Blue J Legal system to input specific facts of the case to determine with 95% probability of accuracy the right answer to this question.

Not only can it provide a yes/no answer to the question, it can also provide the reasoning behind the answer and links to the relevant cases involved.

The system is now being used by accountants in the beta test to answer this and other questions.  According to Niblett, three of the Big 4 accounting firms are using the system in the beta trial.  You can see a client list here.
  
This process can also be applied to questions of legal residency in Canada, which, he said, revolve around the “center of vital interest test.”

The more consistent the existing case law is, the higher the confidence level that can be applied to the answer.  According to Niblett, Canadian tax case law is very consistent, yielding high confidence levels for the system’s answers.  Users of the product are, he says, “happy with it.”

This innovative start-up’s name derives from the blue that represents the University of Toronto and the “J” that follows the name of judges in official documents in Canada.

Another field of law that is susceptible to this kind of machine learning is anti-trust law.  Even criminal law might be a possible area subject to this kind of analysis and prediction.  The company envisions an eventual expansion to include U.S. law within its purview.

The company co-founder emphasizes that their system is, essentially, a “legal research tool.”  According to Niblett, neither judges nor lawyers are worried about being disintermediated or replaced by the Blue J Legal system.   “Not yet,” he adds.



Friday, July 15, 2016

Expert panel foresees a world of autonomous vehicles



Four experts and an Assemblymember gathered last night in the auditorium of High Tech Los Angeles magnet high school to discuss the future of autonomous vehicles in Los Angeles and generally. 
 
Forty-sixth district Assemblymember Adrin Nazarian convened the session, which featured presentations and question-answering by Dr. Sheila Tejada, a professor of artificial intelligence at the University of Southern California; Colin Peppard, chief of innovation at LA Metro; Dr. Rajit Gadh, professor of engineering at the University of California, Los Angeles; and Bernard Soriano, deputy director of the California Department of Motor Vehicles.

While each panelist raised questions about various aspects of the transition to a future full of cars that can drive themselves, there seemed to be a consensus among them that this transition was happening already and would only accelerate in the future, as technical and regulatory hurdles are confronted and overcome.

About 40 citizens attended the presentation.

Google and Tesla, and their work on self-driving/autonomous cars, got a lot of the attention from the panelists, even though no one from either company participated in this discussion about their work.  After the formal conclusion of the session, Assemblymember Nazarian mentioned that both had been invited to appear, but had declined, probably, he thought, so they could better gauge public response to their vehicle automation efforts without getting publicly involved in the discussion yet.  He said these companies would probably be watching the video of the session, which they, and everyone, can view now here. 
 
Assemblymember Nazarian acknowledged to a reporter from Etopia News that the automation of fields other that transportation was also a pressing concern and that this would make a good subject for a subsequent panel event, after a suitable interval had passed since this one.  When it was suggested that artificial intelligence-generated technological unemployment might even one day be an issue that impinges on the job security of “elected officials,” and that when that happened there would finally be politicians who kept their promises, this canny official replied, “That will depend on how they’re programmed.”  There was agreement on that.  Then he added, “It will depend on who programs them.”

The event, scheduled to start at 6:00 pm, didn’t start until 6:30 pm, due to the fact that some panelists were stuck in traffic.

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Professor Gadh addresses issues relating to self-driving cars and artificial intelligence panel



Rajit Gadh, a professor at UCLA and one of the panelists on this evening’s panel discussion of self-driving cars and artificial intelligence at High Tech Los Angeles (HTLA), provided Etopia News with these comprehensive and detailed answers to three questions posed to him about these subjects:


1.      How feasible would it be to create a citywide network in Los Angeles that could manage the operations of millions of human-driven and autonomous vehicles using machine learning and system optimization?



That is the direction in which we are headed. However, it requires tremendous research on technologies that integrate multiple sensors, GPS, communications, control, software algorithms, real time and big data analytics, energy efficiency and management in the case of electric vehicles, etc. This would have to occur phase-wise with incremental progress that is demonstrable.  For example, Tesla, with its semi-autonomous auto-pilot feature illustrates an incremental idea that's been used by large numbers of people.  Such incremental progress is necessary for the next generation of technologies and then subsequent generations of autonomous vehicles.  We will try many approaches; some will succeed while others will fail.  We are in early stages of the beta phase of this industry.



2.      Should this network be centrally-controlled, or should it be more decentralized, with semi-autonomous sectors in close communication with neighboring and distant sectors, as appropriate?



Both.  Some decisions will be made locally - for instance collision avoidance between two vehicles requires hyper-fast response times and may even require separate sensors and circuits to respond quickly.  Other decisions, for example, travel route planning or pickup up of multiple passengers (which may be mapped to the famous traveling salesman problem or TSP) along the way by an autonomous ride sharing service may be analyzed on the Internet Cloud which may require large computing power but not instantaneous response.  ICT (Information and Communications Technologies) and IOT (Internet of Things) are key technologies to make it happen.   Or, for example, in the area of my own research on autonomous Electric Vehicles, planning the amount of energy stored within battery of an electric vehicle through the day may be a task that can be performed on the Internet Cloud whereas the power train controls in real time would be performed on vehicle - here the energy management function is distributed.  However, in the long-term as V2V and V2I communications get faster, even these paradigms may be uprooted.



3.      How can the breadth and depth of expertise and experience among the panelists be permanently harnessed in support of developing and implementing a sensible future in mobility?



My own background is in the engineering technology space having worked in the automotive sector, and also having done research in the fields of Artificial Intelligence/Expert Systems, IOT, Electric Vehicles and Smart Energy Grids, and this background allows me to contribute to autonomous electric vehicle research quite naturally. One needs multiple expertise areas to solve a problem of such a complex nature beyond simply engineering as this involves policy makers, infrastructure planners, telecommunications companies, transportation departments, technology providers, professors and students all working together to come up with innovations that can make a difference.    Technology is progressing and will progress at a very rapid pace, and so policy makers need to work with technology providers to see what's technologically possible, and how the right policies can be put into effect at the right time.  It will be an iterative and continuous process - for sure the automobile industry will experience significant and rapid change.

To watch this panel discussion, live, go here at 6:00 pm PDT on July 14, 2016.